The game is about to change.
In 20 years, the salary limit of NHL was $ 6.3 million. However, last week, the alliance and PA issued an estimate of the upper salary limit in the next three years. These predictions will greatly change the economic reality of the team and players. In the next season, the upper limit will rise by $ 7.5 million, and then increased by $ 9.5 million in 2027-28 in the second year. In general, this will increase by $ 25.5 million in three seasons -compared with the upper limit of the original salary from 2005-06, the league spent eight years rising.
These predictions are likely to be low.
Although there are controversy, and what will happen in the league players, or how many teams can promote the upper limit of the upper limit of the high altitude, a good bet, the super superstar will follow the tide.
When we look at the new NHL contract, the best way to compare their best way is to view the block rate when the transaction is reached. As the hat increases, this is the best way to increase inflation and salary.
As players sign new contracts with new contracts in the future, it is important to consider this situation. The salary should rise rapidly and throw the old comparison outside the window. Today’s 5 million US dollars (568 %) and $ 113.5 billion are equivalent to the upper limit of $ 6.5 million. Similarly, today’s $ 10 million (11.3 %) is equal to a $ 12.9 million hat of 2027-28 years.
At the same time, the recently signed transaction will also use new forms. With the increase of the upper limit, the burden on the contract today will become less and less. If today’s players signed a contract of $ 5 million today, and the other three years or more, AAV will be equivalent to the $ 3.9 million upper limit in 2027-28.
However, in the most expensive star contract, you will see the most obvious field in this transition. Just check the following three contracts. All contracts are the most favorable maps in today’s top five, and their equivalent value will be under the upper limit of rising.
• With JT Miller’s transaction, Elias Petterson’s pressure will appear, which is correct. At present, Petterson is the fifth tallest player in AAV ($ 11.6 million) in the first year of the eight -year contract. This is the richest in the history of team history.
• When the organization pays too much salary, the pressure will exist forever, but as time passes, his burden on the salary limit becomes less and less. In the third year of the Petterson contract, his upper limit rate will be equivalent to today’s $ 9.8 million transaction-Tyler Seguin or Sebastian Aho (Sebastian Aho) (Sebastian Aho) quite. By the time Petsen’s transaction exceeded half of his contract value, it was equivalent to the $ 9 million AAV today. It is equivalent to Cale Makar and Kirill Kaprizov. They have purchased the RFA season, and the PREIZED the PriaSied the Jake Guentzel Winger In the UFA course last summer. Today, the $ 9 million AAV in the league ranks 34th.
• Unless the star joins the battle, Petsen will become the most expensive player in Vancouver until Quinn Hughes (Quinn Hughes) will be unlimited free players in 2027. For him, this is a good time, because this is just a season with a block of $ 113.5 billion. If we watch the highest NHL defensive player today, Erik Karlsson is $ 11.5 million, and the current upper limit rate will reach Hughes’s hit rate (13.06). The contract may be about $ 14.8 million. This may be conservative estimation.
• When he was a prospect, Auston Matthews stood out in the draft year and took a different path with most others. As a professional, his contracts are also different. Matthews did not get the highest term, but signed a five -year contract in his entry -level contract, and then reached a four -year contract in 2023. And it will become more obvious than ever.
• At present, in the league, AAV is the highest salary player, and the relative value of the Matthews contract will decrease as if any other height is increased to a new height. In the third year of the contract, he will be paid like David Pastrnak in the last year of Matthews in the last year of the David Pastrnak. Jack EICHEL) is currently similar to.
• Matthews did not continue to decline, but would be eligible for extension after that season, making him a member of the highest salary of AAV in the league (even if he was not the highest salary). When the salary limit is $ 113.5 billion, Mattheum will be eligible to sign the expansion name, but it will not play a role until the upper limit rises again.
• Nathan Mackinnon was the most salary player in the league before Leon Draisaitl surpassed him. The expansion of Mackinnon is one of the most valuable transactions in the league. This is a way to sign a $ 6.3 million AAV in 2016. He may not be Best The value again (US $ 12.6 million will never be a small money, he will be 30 years old next season), but when he is 32 years old, the transaction of Mai Jinnong, a eighth -year contract of the eight -year contract, will be equivalent to $ 9.88 Millions of AAV today.
• The “internal hat” of Colorado may be one of the reasons why they traded Mikko Rantanen in the contract season, because inflation caused him to have a case of $ 12.6 million in Mackinnon. But this will not be able to stand forever. Cale Makar appeared free players in the same year with Quinn Hughes in 2027. First of all, see which one of these two star defensive players is fascinating. One of them strives to fight for $ 15 million AAV … or more.
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What is the new highest contract?
At present, the highest upper limit of the newly signed transaction is Connor McDavid’s, and its contract accounts for 15.72 % of the salary when signing in 2017. The percentage of the upper limit.
Other comparability of high -end transactions include Mackinnon (15.09 % after signing), Matthews (15.06) and Draisaitl (14.66).
If we signed 15 % of high -end as a high -end star, then in the next three years, these AAVs will reach US $ 14.325 billion, US $ 15.6 million and 17.025 billion US dollars. When the AAV of 2027-28 is expected to be $ 113.5 million, AAV is 16 %, equal to $ 18.16 million.
This major change is coming and will be led by McDavid again. The contract signed a contract in 2027. The same is true of Kirill Kaprizov, Jack EICHEL and Artemi Panarin. The season after Makar and Quinn Hughes.
Connor Bedard was the first extension in 2027, and Macklin Celebrini was in 2028. What will be the climate when these two meet the conditions of the UFA? Will they sign the potential customers of Matthews at the highest term or signature?
Unless someone promotes the hit rate of a new height hit, we may still have a few years of personal players for several years. But at this speed, this possibility will appear in the next ten years.
